Reanalysis of the future earthquake situation for some seismic zones in the Xinjiang region and its border areas

According to the brittle failure theory of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system developed by us,the earthquake situation for some seismic zones in the Xinjiang region and its border areas is reanalyzed in the present paper.The boundaries of some seismic zones are also redefined.Meanwhile,the prediction results,including the magnitude,place,critical strain,and hypocentral depth of the moderate-strong or strong earthquake,are also presented.The results suggest that an impending great earthquake will occur in Xinyuan-Almaty seismic zone,a large earthquake will happen in China-Kyrghyzstan border seismic zone,a large or great earthquakes will happen in Hami-Aletai-Oskemen border seismic zone,strong earthquakes will occur in Bohu,Kuerle,Baicheng,and Kunlunshankouxi seismic zones respectively,and a moderate earthquake will occur in Ruoqiang seismic zones.The analysis results above could be considered by the related department.