Travel Mode Choice-Based Prediction of Public Transit Demand

The paper presents a research of the travel choice characteristics of passengers in China that has heretofore largely gone unnoticed in strategy of public transit priority based on travelers intentions in China,and offers methods for public transit demand analysis.This paper traces the history of methods for travel mode choice and travel demand forecasting.Based on Stated Preference Survey,individual characteristic and travelers intentions criteria are discussed and the effects of public transit choice are derived.Travel mode choice model is established on the basis of the surveyed data of Cixi in China.In the model criteria in public transit choice and travel mode split are quantified.Two cities,Cixi and Xiamen,are compared in terms of their attitude to improving public transportation and strategy of public transit priority is seperately proposed for them.