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2022•Applied Economics LettersRequires access

Oil price shocks and U.S. unemployment rate: a robustness check

Zeina N. Alsalman

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Abstract

This study investigates the sensitivity of the responses of the real price of oil and the U.S. unemployment rate to several real economic activity (REA) measures proposed in the literature. It then estimates the responses of the above macroeconomic variables to a set of alternative exogenous oil supply shock series driven by different modelling strategies. While the results are qualitatively robust across the REA measures, they are sensitive to the exogenous oil supply shock series selected.

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What this paper is about

This study investigates the sensitivity of the responses of the real price of oil and the U.S. unemployment rate to several real economic activity (REA) measures proposed in the literature. It then estimates the responses of the above macroeconomic variables to a set of alternative exogenous oil supply shock series driven by different modelling strategies. While the results are qualitatively robust across the REA measures, they are sensitive to the exogenous oil supply shock series selected.

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Available abstract

This study investigates the sensitivity of the responses of the real price of oil and the U.S. unemployment rate to several real economic activity (REA) measures proposed in the literature. It then estimates the responses of the above macroeconomic variables to a set of alternative exogenous oil supply shock series driven by different modelling strategies. While the results are qualitatively robust across the REA measures, they are sensitive to the exogenous oil supply shock series selected.

Key concepts: Oil price, Economics, Robustness (evolution), Oil supply, Unemployment, Econometrics, Shock (circulatory), Unemployment rate

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