2022E3S Web of ConferencesOpen access

Evaluation of pressure and species concentration measurement using uncertainty propagation

Georgios Stefopoulos, Stylianos Rigas, Panagiotis Tsirikoglou, Anestis I. Kalfas

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Abstract

This paper presents a probabilistic uncertainity evaluation method as described in the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurements (GUM) and its application to probe measurements on pressure and fuel concentration. All sources of unceratinties are expressed as probability distributions. Consequently, the overall standard uncertainty of the quantity can be calculated using the Gaussian error propagation formula. The result of the uncertainty evaluation yields the most probable value of the measurand and describes its distribution in terms of rectangular (standard uncertainty) or gaussian (“expanded” uncertainty) distribution. A pitot-static probe and a fuel-concentration stem probe are used in order to demonstrate the principle of the probabilistic uncertainty evaluation method. The uncertainty induced by the pressure and concentration data acquisition system as well as the calibration of the fuel-concentration probe are included in the analysis. The overall “expanded” uncertainties for the measured and calculated values are presented as a function of different inlet fuel flows. In addition to this, the individual sources of uncertainty to the overall standard uncertainty are presented and discussed. Moreover, the transformation of standard uncertainty to “expanded” uncertainty will provide the deviation of the measurement in a 95% or 99% normal distributed interval instead of a 67% rectangular distributed interval.

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This paper presents a probabilistic uncertainity evaluation method as described in the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurements (GUM) and its application to probe measurements on pressure and fuel concentration. All sources of unceratinties are expressed as probability distributions. Consequently, the overall standard uncertainty of the quantity can be calculated using the Gaussian error propagation formula. The result of the uncertainty evaluation yields the most probable value of the measurand and describes its distribution in terms of rectangular (standard uncertainty) or gaussian (“expanded” uncertainty) distribution. A pitot-static probe and a fuel-concentration stem probe are used in order to demonstrate the principle of the probabilistic uncertainty evaluation method. The uncertainty induced by the pressure and concentration data acquisition system as well as the calibration of the fuel-concentration probe are included in the analysis. The overall “expanded” uncertainties for the measured and calculated values are presented as a function of different inlet fuel flows. In addition to this, the individual sources of uncertainty to the overall standard uncertainty are presented and discussed. Moreover, the transformation of standard uncertainty to “expanded” uncertainty will provide the deviation of the measurement in a 95% or 99% normal distributed interval instead of a 67% rectangular distributed interval.

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Available abstract

This paper presents a probabilistic uncertainity evaluation method as described in the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurements (GUM) and its application to probe measurements on pressure and fuel concentration. All sources of unceratinties are expressed as probability distributions. Consequently, the overall standard uncertainty of the quantity can be calculated using the Gaussian error propagation formula. The result of the uncertainty evaluation yields the most probable value of the measurand and describes its distribution in terms of rectangular (standard uncertainty) or gaussian (“expanded” uncertainty) distribution. A pitot-static probe and a fuel-concentration stem probe are used in order to demonstrate the principle of the probabilistic uncertainty evaluation method. The uncertainty induced by the pressure and concentration data acquisition system as well as the calibration of the fuel-concentration probe are included in the analysis. The overall “expanded” uncertainties for the measured and calculated values are presented as a function of different inlet fuel flows. In addition to this, the individual sources of uncertainty to the overall standard uncertainty are presented and discussed. Moreover, the transformation of standard uncertainty to “expanded” uncertainty will provide the deviation of the measurement in a 95% or 99% normal distributed interval instead of a 67% rectangular distributed interval.

Key concepts: Propagation of uncertainty, Measurement uncertainty, Uncertainty analysis, Standard deviation, Uncertainty quantification, Standard uncertainty, Sensitivity analysis, Calibration

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