ASSESSMENT OF THE QUALITY OF SIMULATION OF CHANGES OF THE DOWNWELLING SHORTWAVE RADIATION IN THE SEVASTOPOL REGION USING THE CMIP6 MODELS

Using the data of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6), the quality of the simulation of the observed climate changes of downwelling shortwave radiation in the Sevastopol region for the period 1983–2012 is assessed. It is shown that the average values of the considered characteristics of solar resources according to the data of climate models are, in general, higher than according to the ob-servational data, whereas the values of the standard deviation are lower. The analysis of linear trends of the downwelling shortwave radiation show that most climate models from the CMIP6 project correctly simulate the process up to the sign of the linear trend. Using a number of statistical characteristics, mod-els have been determined that best simulate the analyzed climatic characteristic and will be suitable for assessing future changes in the solar energy potential in the Sevastopol region.