2015•International Journal of Environment and Sustainable DevelopmentRequires access

A Forecasting Gross Energy Consumption in Henan Based on Grey Model GM( 1,1)

Zhuan Li

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Abstract

Energy consumption prediction model has been established based on grey model GM( 1,1) for Henan province using energy consumption from 2004 to 2012 as sample data. Energy consumption from 2013 to 2020 was predicted for Henan province. The results showed that,the predictive value of energy consumption in 2020 would be 410. 71 million tons of standard coal,which is 73. 68% more than that in 2012. Combined with the current energy consumption structure for Henan province,some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward for controlling the total energy consumption and adjusting energy structure in Henan.

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What this paper is about

Energy consumption prediction model has been established based on grey model GM( 1,1) for Henan province using energy consumption from 2004 to 2012 as sample data. Energy consumption from 2013 to 2020 was predicted for Henan province. The results showed that,the predictive value of energy consumption in 2020 would be 410. 71 million tons of standard coal,which is 73. 68% more than that in 2012. Combined with the current energy consumption structure for Henan province,some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward for controlling the total energy consumption and adjusting energy structure in Henan.

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Available abstract

Energy consumption prediction model has been established based on grey model GM( 1,1) for Henan province using energy consumption from 2004 to 2012 as sample data. Energy consumption from 2013 to 2020 was predicted for Henan province. The results showed that,the predictive value of energy consumption in 2020 would be 410. 71 million tons of standard coal,which is 73. 68% more than that in 2012. Combined with the current energy consumption structure for Henan province,some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward for controlling the total energy consumption and adjusting energy structure in Henan.

Key concepts: Energy consumption, Consumption (sociology), Total energy, Coal, Sample (material), Energy (signal processing), Environmental science, Environmental economics

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