Statistical Analysis Of Wind Speed Distribution Of Turkey As Regional
Ebru Kavak Akpınar, Sinan Akpınar, Nilay Balpetek
Abstract
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Ebru Kavak Akpınar, Sinan Akpınar, Nilay Balpetek
Abstract
Open-access reader
In this study, the statistical analysis of wind power density and wind speed distribution parameters of the selected cities from seven region of Turkey was investigated using the hourly wind speed data measured by the Turkish State Meteorological Service between 2005 and 2014. The Weibull and Rayleigh distributions were used for modeling and the success of this modeling process was evaluated according to the parameters of R2, RMSE and c2. The Weibull parameters and the Rayleigh parameters were estimated analytically, and the mean wind speed and energy potential were determined based on these parameters. At the Weibull distribution, the lowest mean wind speed and power density was obtained as 1.73 m/s and 5.78 W/m2 in Adıyaman, respectively. The highest mean speed and power density was determined as 2.95 m/s and 33.32 W/m2 in Sinop. At the Rayleigh distribution, the lowest and the highest mean speed and the power density was obtained as 1.72 m/s and 5.63 W/m2 in Adıyaman, 3.06 m /s and 33.44 W/m2 in Sinop, respectively. Generally, the highest mean wind speed and power density values were determined in Sinop, and the lowest mean wind speed and power density values in Adıyaman. According to statistical criteria in wind data analysis of Turkey, the Weibull distribution was better than the Rayleigh distribution.
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In this study, the statistical analysis of wind power density and wind speed distribution parameters of the selected cities from seven region of Turkey was investigated using the hourly wind speed data measured by the Turkish State Meteorological Service between 2005 and 2014. The Weibull and Rayleigh distributions were used for modeling and the success of this modeling process was evaluated according to the parameters of R2, RMSE and c2. The Weibull parameters and the Rayleigh parameters were estimated analytically, and the mean wind speed and energy potential were determined based on these parameters. At the Weibull distribution, the lowest mean wind speed and power density was obtained as 1.73 m/s and 5.78 W/m2 in Adıyaman, respectively. The highest mean speed and power density was determined as 2.95 m/s and 33.32 W/m2 in Sinop. At the Rayleigh distribution, the lowest and the highest mean speed and the power density was obtained as 1.72 m/s and 5.63 W/m2 in Adıyaman, 3.06 m /s and 33.44 W/m2 in Sinop, respectively. Generally, the highest mean wind speed and power density values were determined in Sinop, and the lowest mean wind speed and power density values in Adıyaman. According to statistical criteria in wind data analysis of Turkey, the Weibull distribution was better than the Rayleigh distribution.
Key concepts: Weibull distribution, Wind speed, Rayleigh distribution, Environmental science, Wind power, Rayleigh scattering, Wind profile power law, Probability density function