Personnel reliability impact on petrochemical facilities monitoring system’s failure skipping probability
V. N. Kostyukov, A. P. Naumenko
Abstract
V. N. Kostyukov, A. P. Naumenko
Abstract
The paper dwells upon urgent issues of evaluating impact of actions conducted by complex technological systems operators on their safe operation considering application of condition monitoring systems for elements and sub-systems of petrochemical production facilities. The main task for the research is to distinguish factors and criteria of monitoring system properties description, which would allow to evaluate impact of errors made by personnel on operation of real-time condition monitoring and diagnostic systems for machinery of petrochemical facilities, and find and objective criteria for monitoring system class, considering a human factor. On the basis of real-time condition monitoring concepts of sudden failure skipping risk, static and dynamic error, monitoring systems, one may solve a task of evaluation of impact that personnel’s qualification has on monitoring system operation in terms of error in personnel or operators’ actions while receiving information from monitoring systems and operating a technological system. Operator is considered as a part of the technological system. Although, personnel’s behavior is usually a combination of the following parameters: input signal - information perceiving, reaction – decision making, response – decision implementing. Based on several researches on behavior of nuclear powers station operators in USA, Italy and other countries, as well as on researches conducted by Russian scientists, required data on operator’s reliability were selected for analysis of operator’s behavior at technological facilities diagnostics and monitoring systems. The calculations revealed that for the monitoring system selected as an example, the failure skipping risk for the set values of static (less than 0.01) and dynamic (less than 0.001) errors considering all related factors of data on reliability of information perception, decision-making, and reaction fulfilled is 0.037, in case when all the facilities and error probability are under control – not more than 0.027. In case when only pump and compressor units are under control, the failure skipping risk is not more than 0.022, when the probability of error in operator’s action is not more than 0.011. The work output shows that on the basis of the researches results an assessment of operators’ reliability can be made in terms of almost any kind of production, but considering only technological capabilities, since operators’ psychological and general training considerable vary in different production industries. Using latest technologies of engineering psychology and design of data support systems, situation assessment systems, decision-making and responding system, as well as achievement in condition monitoring in various production industries one can evaluate hazardous condition skipping risk probability considering static, dynamic errors and human factor.
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The paper dwells upon urgent issues of evaluating impact of actions conducted by complex technological systems operators on their safe operation considering application of condition monitoring systems for elements and sub-systems of petrochemical production facilities. The main task for the research is to distinguish factors and criteria of monitoring system properties description, which would allow to evaluate impact of errors made by personnel on operation of real-time condition monitoring and diagnostic systems for machinery of petrochemical facilities, and find and objective criteria for monitoring system class, considering a human factor. On the basis of real-time condition monitoring concepts of sudden failure skipping risk, static and dynamic error, monitoring systems, one may solve a task of evaluation of impact that personnel’s qualification has on monitoring system operation in terms of error in personnel or operators’ actions while receiving information from monitoring systems and operating a technological system. Operator is considered as a part of the technological system. Although, personnel’s behavior is usually a combination of the following parameters: input signal - information perceiving, reaction – decision making, response – decision implementing. Based on several researches on behavior of nuclear powers station operators in USA, Italy and other countries, as well as on researches conducted by Russian scientists, required data on operator’s reliability were selected for analysis of operator’s behavior at technological facilities diagnostics and monitoring systems. The calculations revealed that for the monitoring system selected as an example, the failure skipping risk for the set values of static (less than 0.01) and dynamic (less than 0.001) errors considering all related factors of data on reliability of information perception, decision-making, and reaction fulfilled is 0.037, in case when all the facilities and error probability are under control – not more than 0.027. In case when only pump and compressor units are under control, the failure skipping risk is not more than 0.022, when the probability of error in operator’s action is not more than 0.011. The work output shows that on the basis of the researches results an assessment of operators’ reliability can be made in terms of almost any kind of production, but considering only technological capabilities, since operators’ psychological and general training considerable vary in different production industries. Using latest technologies of engineering psychology and design of data support systems, situation assessment systems, decision-making and responding system, as well as achievement in condition monitoring in various production industries one can evaluate hazardous condition skipping risk probability considering static, dynamic errors and human factor.
Key concepts: Reliability (semiconductor), Reliability engineering, Task (project management), Risk analysis (engineering), Computer science, Operator (biology), Petrochemical, Engineering