2016London School of Economics and Political Science Theses Online (London School of Economics and Political Science)Open access

Matthew Goodwin’s round-up: Leave’s lead, the Boris effect and persuading the Undecideds

Matthew J. Goodwin

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Abstract

Britain’s referendum debate is heating up. Matthew Goodwin looks at whether the apparent swing to Leave in the polls is likely to be reliable, the effect of a Boris-led Leave campaign, the progress of David Cameron’s renegotiation and whether a Brexit would lead to Scotland demanding independence.

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What this paper is about

Britain’s referendum debate is heating up. Matthew Goodwin looks at whether the apparent swing to Leave in the polls is likely to be reliable, the effect of a Boris-led Leave campaign, the progress of David Cameron’s renegotiation and whether a Brexit would lead to Scotland demanding independence.

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Available abstract

Britain’s referendum debate is heating up. Matthew Goodwin looks at whether the apparent swing to Leave in the polls is likely to be reliable, the effect of a Boris-led Leave campaign, the progress of David Cameron’s renegotiation and whether a Brexit would lead to Scotland demanding independence.

Key concepts: Referendum, Brexit, Independence (probability theory), Lead (geology), Political science, Economics, Keynesian economics, Political economy

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