2012Bulletin of Soil and Water ConservationRequires access

Driving Forces for Change of Arable Land Quantity in Guiyang City

Zhu Yan

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Abstract

12 social factors,including population,GDP,agricultural mechanization level and urbanization rate,were selected based on statistic data from 1996 to 2009 in Guiyang City.The change trend of arable land area in the past 14 years and its factors were studied by using correlation analysis and principal component analysis with the aid of SPSS.Results showed that the general trend of arable land area presented a reduction in the study period,and the change of per capita arable land was consistent with that of total arable land quantity.By principal component analysis,the driving factors for the change of arable land area in Guiyang City were found to be the economic development,population increasement and advanced agricultural technology.Finally,the measures for arable land protection were proposed to make the arable land resources used safely and sustainably.

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12 social factors,including population,GDP,agricultural mechanization level and urbanization rate,were selected based on statistic data from 1996 to 2009 in Guiyang City.The change trend of arable land area in the past 14 years and its factors were studied by using correlation analysis and principal component analysis with the aid of SPSS.Results showed that the general trend of arable land area presented a reduction in the study period,and the change of per capita arable land was consistent with that of total arable land quantity.By principal component analysis,the driving factors for the change of arable land area in Guiyang City were found to be the economic development,population increasement and advanced agricultural technology.Finally,the measures for arable land protection were proposed to make the arable land resources used safely and sustainably.

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Available abstract

12 social factors,including population,GDP,agricultural mechanization level and urbanization rate,were selected based on statistic data from 1996 to 2009 in Guiyang City.The change trend of arable land area in the past 14 years and its factors were studied by using correlation analysis and principal component analysis with the aid of SPSS.Results showed that the general trend of arable land area presented a reduction in the study period,and the change of per capita arable land was consistent with that of total arable land quantity.By principal component analysis,the driving factors for the change of arable land area in Guiyang City were found to be the economic development,population increasement and advanced agricultural technology.Finally,the measures for arable land protection were proposed to make the arable land resources used safely and sustainably.

Key concepts: Arable land, Urbanization, Per capita, Population, Geography, Agriculture, Principal component analysis, Land use

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