Empirical Study on Relations of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth——Based on the Co integration and Granger Causality Estimation of the Data from 1978 to 2010 in Henan Province
Shangguan Xu-ming
Abstract
Shangguan Xu-ming
Abstract
According to 1978-2010 statistical data,this paper analyzes the relationship between import and export trade and economic growth in Henan Province from the statistical perspective,we found that dependence on foreign trade is far below same level as China,although trade elasticity of GDP is flexible,but trade boosting economic development in Henan province is low.From the perspective of Johansen co integration test,error correction model and Granger causality test.Henan foreign trade and economic growth have long-term equilibrium relationship,and import and export Granger causes economic growth,foreign trade in Henan Province has a positive role in promoting economic growth.
A significance statement is not available in the OpenAlex record.
A contribution statement is not available in the OpenAlex record.
Method details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.
Findings are not separately available in the OpenAlex metadata.
Limitations are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.
Application details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.
According to 1978-2010 statistical data,this paper analyzes the relationship between import and export trade and economic growth in Henan Province from the statistical perspective,we found that dependence on foreign trade is far below same level as China,although trade elasticity of GDP is flexible,but trade boosting economic development in Henan province is low.From the perspective of Johansen co integration test,error correction model and Granger causality test.Henan foreign trade and economic growth have long-term equilibrium relationship,and import and export Granger causes economic growth,foreign trade in Henan Province has a positive role in promoting economic growth.
Key concepts: Granger causality, Economics, Error correction model, Estimation, China, Economic integration, International trade, International economics