The Forecast of Possible Maximal Precipitation in Every Station in Wuhan Region

Aiming at strong precipitation forecast,a project about the forecasting model of possible maximal precipitation including factors like big-scale rain,unstable energy releasing,terrain effect is introduced.By using the historical strong precipitation examples and elaborate terrain datum,and based on the basic matter of strong precipitation,the unstable precipitation equation and terrain effect precipitation equation are designed.By examination during 2007 flood season,compared with other forecasting models,this model shows better forecast ability for strong precipitation,and provided credible weather decision-making gist,farthest reducing the damage caused by flood and torrential rain.