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On the Relations between Fertility and Sex Ratio at Birth in Rural China

Chu Jun

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the relations between fertility and sex ratio at birth in rural China and proves the inevitability of rising sex ratio at birth during fertility decline to below replacement level. The high sex ratio at birth in the 1990s in China was a result of prenatal sex selection, reflecting farmer's desire for fewer children but one son to continue family line. Only by establishing a new fertility culture to replace the old can China realize a normal sex ratio at birth in a low fertility regime.

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This paper analyzes the relations between fertility and sex ratio at birth in rural China and proves the inevitability of rising sex ratio at birth during fertility decline to below replacement level. The high sex ratio at birth in the 1990s in China was a result of prenatal sex selection, reflecting farmer's desire for fewer children but one son to continue family line. Only by establishing a new fertility culture to replace the old can China realize a normal sex ratio at birth in a low fertility regime.

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Available abstract

This paper analyzes the relations between fertility and sex ratio at birth in rural China and proves the inevitability of rising sex ratio at birth during fertility decline to below replacement level. The high sex ratio at birth in the 1990s in China was a result of prenatal sex selection, reflecting farmer's desire for fewer children but one son to continue family line. Only by establishing a new fertility culture to replace the old can China realize a normal sex ratio at birth in a low fertility regime.

Key concepts: Fertility, Sex ratio, Sex selection, China, Demography, Total fertility rate, Birth rate, Family planning

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