2013•Ke-ji guanli yanjiuRequires access

Co-integration Test of Information Industry and Economic Growth in China

LI Xiao-hon

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Abstract

According to the co-integration theory and China's annual data of 1991-2011,the paper makes a co-integration test and Granger causality test on the relationship between China information industry and economic growth,and establishes a corresponding error correction model.The results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between information industry and economic growth in China.However the equilibrium relationship is of the low capability for self-correction of the current non-equilibrium error.The information industry development is the Granger cause of the economic growth,but the economic growth does not constitute the Granger cause of the information industry development.

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What this paper is about

According to the co-integration theory and China's annual data of 1991-2011,the paper makes a co-integration test and Granger causality test on the relationship between China information industry and economic growth,and establishes a corresponding error correction model.The results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between information industry and economic growth in China.However the equilibrium relationship is of the low capability for self-correction of the current non-equilibrium error.The information industry development is the Granger cause of the economic growth,but the economic growth does not constitute the Granger cause of the information industry development.

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Available abstract

According to the co-integration theory and China's annual data of 1991-2011,the paper makes a co-integration test and Granger causality test on the relationship between China information industry and economic growth,and establishes a corresponding error correction model.The results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between information industry and economic growth in China.However the equilibrium relationship is of the low capability for self-correction of the current non-equilibrium error.The information industry development is the Granger cause of the economic growth,but the economic growth does not constitute the Granger cause of the information industry development.

Key concepts: Granger causality, Error correction model, China, Economics, Econometrics, Test (biology), Cointegration, Geography

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