An Empirical Analysis of Economic Growth Factors In Central China——Based on the Time Series Data from 1978 to 2009
LI Dan-qing
Abstract
LI Dan-qing
Abstract
This paper firstly uses the Solow Growth Model to econometrically analyze the relationship between GDP and economic growth factors: capital,labor and TFP(total factors productivity) from 1978 to 2009 in central China.Then the paper calculates the elasticity of capital GDP and the elasticity of labor to GDP and the growth rate and contribution rate of each factor.The results show that the most part of the output comes from capital investment,while the contribution of labor and TFP are small in central China.As a result of the fact that economic growth is not sustainable if it is largely driven by extensive use of capital,central China needs to change the mode of promoting economic growth,so as to gradually realize intensive growth and the goal ofthe rise of central China.
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This paper firstly uses the Solow Growth Model to econometrically analyze the relationship between GDP and economic growth factors: capital,labor and TFP(total factors productivity) from 1978 to 2009 in central China.Then the paper calculates the elasticity of capital GDP and the elasticity of labor to GDP and the growth rate and contribution rate of each factor.The results show that the most part of the output comes from capital investment,while the contribution of labor and TFP are small in central China.As a result of the fact that economic growth is not sustainable if it is largely driven by extensive use of capital,central China needs to change the mode of promoting economic growth,so as to gradually realize intensive growth and the goal ofthe rise of central China.
Key concepts: Economics, Total factor productivity, China, Output elasticity, Macroeconomics, Time series, Capital (architecture), Capital accumulation