Evaluation of Automatic Early Warning Information System of Infectious Diseases run in Xuhui District of Shanghai
Wang Lan
Abstract
Wang Lan
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To analyze the application of automatic early-warning system for communicable diseases for improving alert efficiency.METHODS With dynamic percentile and one-case early-warning method,the early-warning of communicable disease system was established.Data from the system were analyzed with epidemiologic methods.RESULTS In 2011,the system issued 212 times of alert information with a positive ratio of 0.94 percent.The disease case reports show a positive correlation with the signals.(r= 0.714,P=0.009).CONCLUSION Positive predictive value is low,but the sensitivity is high for the early-warning information system.
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OBJECTIVE To analyze the application of automatic early-warning system for communicable diseases for improving alert efficiency.METHODS With dynamic percentile and one-case early-warning method,the early-warning of communicable disease system was established.Data from the system were analyzed with epidemiologic methods.RESULTS In 2011,the system issued 212 times of alert information with a positive ratio of 0.94 percent.The disease case reports show a positive correlation with the signals.(r= 0.714,P=0.009).CONCLUSION Positive predictive value is low,but the sensitivity is high for the early-warning information system.
Key concepts: Warning system, Medicine, Early warning system, Percentile, Predictive value, Communicable disease, Environmental health, Medical emergency