Influence Diagram Used in Air Combat Maneuvering Decision

The influence diagram is introduced to maneuvering decision making in one-to-one air combat for the first time. In the influence diagram model, the possible combat situations related to each maneuver alternative are associated with a probability and a utility. The effects of sensor information that will reduce the uncertainty of the model are evaluated with Bayesian reasoning. Influence diagram analysis produces a probability distribution of the overall utility that represents the successfulness of a maneuver. The final decision is based on the decision criterion. At last, the impacts of different factors on the outcome of the maneuvering decision are determined by sensitivity analysis.