On the Dynamic Relationship among Urbanization,Industrialization and Urban-Rural Income Gap in Anhui Province
Jiyu Jiang
Abstract
Jiyu Jiang
Abstract
Based on the vector autoregression model,by using time series data from 1985 to 2009 of Anhui,the paper aims at investigating the long-term equilibrium relationship and short-term dynamic changes among urbanization,industrialization and urban-rural income gap.The results show that urbanization and industrialization are the causes of variation of urban-rural income gap,industrialization are the cause of urbanization,and the urbanization have no remarkable impacts on industrialization;urbanization would help narrow the urban-rural income gap in short term,but in the long run it has expanded urban-rural income gap;industrialization has expanded urban-rural income gap in short term,but in the long run such negative effects would gradually disappear,and industrialization would narrow urban-rural income gap eventually.According to the above analysis,policy advices on narrowing urban-rural income gap are proposed.
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Based on the vector autoregression model,by using time series data from 1985 to 2009 of Anhui,the paper aims at investigating the long-term equilibrium relationship and short-term dynamic changes among urbanization,industrialization and urban-rural income gap.The results show that urbanization and industrialization are the causes of variation of urban-rural income gap,industrialization are the cause of urbanization,and the urbanization have no remarkable impacts on industrialization;urbanization would help narrow the urban-rural income gap in short term,but in the long run it has expanded urban-rural income gap;industrialization has expanded urban-rural income gap in short term,but in the long run such negative effects would gradually disappear,and industrialization would narrow urban-rural income gap eventually.According to the above analysis,policy advices on narrowing urban-rural income gap are proposed.
Key concepts: Industrialisation, Urbanization, Economics, Vector autoregression, Rural area, Development economics, Economic growth, Economic geography