Inlightenment to Earthquake Prediction from the Dynamic Tracing Process to Wenchuan M_S8.0 Earthquake Sequence

Through the analysis on type of earthquake and rupture features of Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake,the relationship of seismic activties between Longmenshan fault zone and Gansu province is discussed.Meanwhile the dynamic tracing process to Wenchuan earthquake sequence and how successfully predicting the aftershock activity in Gansu province are reviewed.Based on above,it is considered that we should obtain more physical informations from the process of earthquake pregnancy-developing-occurrence,and change the present earthquake prediction model which mainly depend on experience and statistics to a new model of physical earthquake prediction.