Dynamic Analysis and Forecast in Tourism Competitiveness of Cities in Henan Province Based on Niche

Niche theory had important guiding significance in tourism competitiveness study.This paper constructed the evaluation system of competitiveness of the tourism from the concept of niche.Based on tourism related indicators and data collection of the Henan 18 cities of 2000-2005,using the factor analysis of SPSS13.0 statistical software,accessed to the competitive niche of 18 cities in Henan Province.Furthermore,this paper gave out a comparative analysis from all over time and space dimensions to explore the reasons of 18 cities in the current niche and forecasted the future trends.