On the Agglomeration,Economic Growth and Sustainability——An Empirical Analysis based on Spatial Distribution and Industrial Allocation in China

In this paper,we make a micro analysis on the determinants of agglomeration and relationship between agglomeration and growth,based on new economic geographic models and endogenous growth models.We find that factors mobility rising and income-gap widening among regions are important determinants of agglomeration.And then we use provincial and industrial data from 1978 to 2008 to make empirical tests,the result indicates that spatial distribution is core-periphery with polarizing tendency in China,on the other hand,industrial concentration rates are convergent.We also find that agglomeration trend of manufacturing is prominent since mid-1990s.It demonstrates that regional agglomeration,manufacturing industry agglomeration has a negative relationship with economic growth since 1990s,and also testifies the fact that the excessive agglomeration of resources decreases the efficiency.In view of this,we find that the polarizing tendency of spatial distribution and excessive agglomeration of manufacturing industry is unsustainable.