Traffic-mode Choice Prediction of Comprehensive Transportation Hub Based on Nest Logit Model

On the basis of discrete choice model and Nest Logit model theory,and considering the characteristics between the correlation of different options,this research studies the application of the Nest Logit model on the traffic-mode choice in the comprehensive transportation hub.After the characteristics of various traffic-mode in the comprehensive transportation hub and the Nest Logit model are analyzed,the traffic-mode choice prediction model in the comprehensive transportation hub is established,and its utility function is determined.The probability of traffic-mode choice is calculated,and the model parameters are determined.Finally,based on the analysis of the surveyed data of the passengers' wishes in Zhongshan City,the traffic-mode choices are predicted respectively in the light of the different distances.Furthermore,after the forecast results are compared and analyzed with the actual survey results,the applicability of the model is verified.