2014•Journal of Economic & Financial StudiesOpen access

Can inflation targeting mitigate monetary policy time-inconsistency?

Gabriel Caldas Montes

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Abstract

Although the adoption of inflation targeting can, on average, bring benefits to developing countries, however, adopting this scheme is not necessarily sufficient to mitigate the time-inconsistency problem of monetary policy. The present paper makes use of two theoretical models in order to analyze for the Brazilian case whether it is possible for the monetary authority to conduct time-inconsistent monetary policies even under inflation targeting. The results obtained for Brazil allow one to conjecture that the traditional argument that the adoption of inflation targeting can avoid the time-inconsistency problem is not necessarily true.

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Although the adoption of inflation targeting can, on average, bring benefits to developing countries, however, adopting this scheme is not necessarily sufficient to mitigate the time-inconsistency problem of monetary policy. The present paper makes use of two theoretical models in order to analyze for the Brazilian case whether it is possible for the monetary authority to conduct time-inconsistent monetary policies even under inflation targeting. The results obtained for Brazil allow one to conjecture that the traditional argument that the adoption of inflation targeting can avoid the time-inconsistency problem is not necessarily true.

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Available abstract

Although the adoption of inflation targeting can, on average, bring benefits to developing countries, however, adopting this scheme is not necessarily sufficient to mitigate the time-inconsistency problem of monetary policy. The present paper makes use of two theoretical models in order to analyze for the Brazilian case whether it is possible for the monetary authority to conduct time-inconsistent monetary policies even under inflation targeting. The results obtained for Brazil allow one to conjecture that the traditional argument that the adoption of inflation targeting can avoid the time-inconsistency problem is not necessarily true.

Key concepts: Inflation targeting, Monetary policy, Economics, Dynamic inconsistency, Inflation (cosmology), Argument (complex analysis), Order (exchange), Monetary economics

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