Chinese Natural Gas Consumption Forecast and Shale Gas Development Based on Grey Model

Natural gas as a main clean energy has received national attention,especially under the influence of "shale gas revolution" in the U.S. China has a large shale gas reserves,so Chinese shale gas development has also been widespread concerned.This paper uses GM(1,1) to predict Chinese natural gas consumption in the next few years.The results show that natural gas consumption will continue to rise,and increase rapidly.Under the influence of the current international Low-carbon energy transformation,this paper based on the consumption forecast,and combined with the development of shale gas in current China and the experience of shale gas development in the United States.Put forward some suggestions on such as shale gas exploration, the core technology, infrastructure, laws,regulations and policies,to improve the ratio of natural gas in primary energy consumption structure.