2015•Review of Keynesian EconomicsRequires access

Demand-driven Goodwin cycles with Kaldorian and Kaleckian features

Rudiger L. von Arnim, Jose A. Barrales-Ruiz

Open publisher page 56 citations

Abstract

Goodwin's original endogenous growth cycle describes a supply-driven counter-clockwise movement in employment rate and labor share (). Such cycles are observed in (US) data. Similarly, counter-clockwise cycles exist between utilization rate and labor share, and utilization rate and employment rate. This paper presents a critical discussion of two demand-driven frameworks to explain these cycles, namely a Goodwin–Kaldor model and a Goodwin–Kalecki model. The two models share important features. The main difference lies in the approach to the determination of the distribution of income. We argue that the Goodwin–Kalecki model's ‘profit squeeze’ is the preferable approach.

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What this paper is about

Goodwin's original endogenous growth cycle describes a supply-driven counter-clockwise movement in employment rate and labor share (). Such cycles are observed in (US) data. Similarly, counter-clockwise cycles exist between utilization rate and labor share, and utilization rate and employment rate. This paper presents a critical discussion of two demand-driven frameworks to explain these cycles, namely a Goodwin–Kaldor model and a Goodwin–Kalecki model. The two models share important features. The main difference lies in the approach to the determination of the distribution of income. We argue that the Goodwin–Kalecki model's ‘profit squeeze’ is the preferable approach.

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Available abstract

Goodwin's original endogenous growth cycle describes a supply-driven counter-clockwise movement in employment rate and labor share (). Such cycles are observed in (US) data. Similarly, counter-clockwise cycles exist between utilization rate and labor share, and utilization rate and employment rate. This paper presents a critical discussion of two demand-driven frameworks to explain these cycles, namely a Goodwin–Kaldor model and a Goodwin–Kalecki model. The two models share important features. The main difference lies in the approach to the determination of the distribution of income. We argue that the Goodwin–Kalecki model's ‘profit squeeze’ is the preferable approach.

Key concepts: Economics, Post-Keynesian economics, Wage share, Capacity utilization, Profit rate, Income distribution, Keynesian economics, Business cycle

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