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Scotland 'One Year On' : the Legacy of the Independence Referendum

John Curtice

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Abstract

This paper analyses the aftermath of the referendum, identifies the features of the referendum that contributed to that aftermath, and considers what the implications might be for Scotland’s political and constitutional future. It focuses on three issues. First, what should we make of the post-referendum proposals for more devolution? Do they seem any more likely than any of their predecessors to provide Scotland with a stable constitutional settlement? Second, what are the implications of the SNP’s electoral success? Has it ensured that sooner than later Scotland will be going to the polls once again to decide whether it should be an independent country? Finally, what should we make of attempts to change the voting rights of Scottish MPs? Is it a sign of growing tension between Scotland and England over what their relationship should be?

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This paper analyses the aftermath of the referendum, identifies the features of the referendum that contributed to that aftermath, and considers what the implications might be for Scotland’s political and constitutional future. It focuses on three issues. First, what should we make of the post-referendum proposals for more devolution? Do they seem any more likely than any of their predecessors to provide Scotland with a stable constitutional settlement? Second, what are the implications of the SNP’s electoral success? Has it ensured that sooner than later Scotland will be going to the polls once again to decide whether it should be an independent country? Finally, what should we make of attempts to change the voting rights of Scottish MPs? Is it a sign of growing tension between Scotland and England over what their relationship should be?

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Available abstract

This paper analyses the aftermath of the referendum, identifies the features of the referendum that contributed to that aftermath, and considers what the implications might be for Scotland’s political and constitutional future. It focuses on three issues. First, what should we make of the post-referendum proposals for more devolution? Do they seem any more likely than any of their predecessors to provide Scotland with a stable constitutional settlement? Second, what are the implications of the SNP’s electoral success? Has it ensured that sooner than later Scotland will be going to the polls once again to decide whether it should be an independent country? Finally, what should we make of attempts to change the voting rights of Scottish MPs? Is it a sign of growing tension between Scotland and England over what their relationship should be?

Key concepts: Referendum, Devolution (biology), Voting, Political science, Politics, Settlement (finance), Independence (probability theory), Home rule

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