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The dynamics of Thailand's real exchange rate

Baharom Abdul Hamid, Muzafar Shah Habibullah, Azali Mohamed, Li Shen Chow

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Abstract

This study examines the fundamental determinants of the real exchange rate in Thailand during the period of 1976-2006, using the Bounds testing approach suggested by Pesaran et al. (2001). Three main fundamentals are used to identify the RER, namely, the productivity differentials (proxied by GDP per capita), the net foreign assets position (proxied by the current account balance, CAB), and the real interest rate differential (RIR). The empirical results demonstrate stable long run relationship between the real exchange rate (RER) and GDP per capita (GDPPC), real interest rate (RIR) and current account balance (CAB).

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What this paper is about

This study examines the fundamental determinants of the real exchange rate in Thailand during the period of 1976-2006, using the Bounds testing approach suggested by Pesaran et al. (2001). Three main fundamentals are used to identify the RER, namely, the productivity differentials (proxied by GDP per capita), the net foreign assets position (proxied by the current account balance, CAB), and the real interest rate differential (RIR). The empirical results demonstrate stable long run relationship between the real exchange rate (RER) and GDP per capita (GDPPC), real interest rate (RIR) and current account balance (CAB).

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Available abstract

This study examines the fundamental determinants of the real exchange rate in Thailand during the period of 1976-2006, using the Bounds testing approach suggested by Pesaran et al. (2001). Three main fundamentals are used to identify the RER, namely, the productivity differentials (proxied by GDP per capita), the net foreign assets position (proxied by the current account balance, CAB), and the real interest rate differential (RIR). The empirical results demonstrate stable long run relationship between the real exchange rate (RER) and GDP per capita (GDPPC), real interest rate (RIR) and current account balance (CAB).

Key concepts: Net foreign assets, Exchange rate, Economics, Effective exchange rate, Econometrics, Current account, Real gross domestic product, Productivity

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