2009Singapore Management University Institutional Knowledge (InK) (Singapore Management University)Requires access

Predicting Hedge Fund Performance with Style

Melvyn Teo

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Abstract

I apply the endogenous benchmark approach to the study of hedge funds. I find that including an investment style benchmark significantly reduces within style correlations in hedge fund residuals. Also, the performance spread between high past alpha t-statistic (a risk-adjusted information ratio) funds and low past alpha t-statistic funds increases dramatically when performance is measured relative to fund investment style. There appears to be valuable information in investment style performance that can aid in fund selection.

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What this paper is about

I apply the endogenous benchmark approach to the study of hedge funds. I find that including an investment style benchmark significantly reduces within style correlations in hedge fund residuals. Also, the performance spread between high past alpha t-statistic (a risk-adjusted information ratio) funds and low past alpha t-statistic funds increases dramatically when performance is measured relative to fund investment style. There appears to be valuable information in investment style performance that can aid in fund selection.

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Available abstract

I apply the endogenous benchmark approach to the study of hedge funds. I find that including an investment style benchmark significantly reduces within style correlations in hedge fund residuals. Also, the performance spread between high past alpha t-statistic (a risk-adjusted information ratio) funds and low past alpha t-statistic funds increases dramatically when performance is measured relative to fund investment style. There appears to be valuable information in investment style performance that can aid in fund selection.

Key concepts: Returns-based style analysis, Hedge fund, Style analysis, Investment style, Statistic, Fund of funds, Benchmark (surveying), Manager of managers fund

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