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DEVELOPMENT OF A DEMAND FORECASTING FRAMEWORK FOR TEN INTERCITY CORRIDORS WITHIN THE UNITED STATES

R H Ellis, J C Prokopy

Abstract

The report presents the development, implementation, and results of an intercity passenger travel demand forecasting framework for ten corridors within the United States. The study is a portion of the overall multi-modal DOT study of selected high density intercity corridors. The report first presents the development of a data base of travel demand and impedances in the study corridors. Next the demand forecasting process is described. Finally the sets of alternatives tested and supporting assumptions are presented. Basic sets of alternatives considered examined alternative rail services; the effects of energy shortages; CTOL, RTOL and STOL air services, and the relative effect of distance on various rail services share of demand.

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Key concepts: Demand forecasting, Economic shortage, Transport engineering, Modal, Trip generation, Process (computing), Demand management, Business