1999University of North Texas Digital Library (University of North Texas)Open access

Surpluses and Federal Debt

Philip D. Winters

Open full text 0 citations

Abstract

The federal government had a surplus of $70 billion in fiscal year (FY) 1998 while total federal debt increased by $109 billion.Why did the debt increase even though the government had a surplus?The answer involves understanding what drives changes in the two components of federal debt, debt held by the public (such as that held by individuals, pension funds, banks, and insurance companies, among others) and debt held by government accounts (mostly in federal trust funds, such as Social Security).Debt held by the public declines when the government has a surplus.But when the government accounts that hold federal debt have surpluses, these surpluses increase debt held by government accounts.If the debt held by government accounts increases faster than debt held by the public decreases, total federal debt rises.

Open-access reader

About this research paper

What this paper is about

The federal government had a surplus of $70 billion in fiscal year (FY) 1998 while total federal debt increased by $109 billion.Why did the debt increase even though the government had a surplus?The answer involves understanding what drives changes in the two components of federal debt, debt held by the public (such as that held by individuals, pension funds, banks, and insurance companies, among others) and debt held by government accounts (mostly in federal trust funds, such as Social Security).Debt held by the public declines when the government has a surplus.But when the government accounts that hold federal debt have surpluses, these surpluses increase debt held by government accounts.If the debt held by government accounts increases faster than debt held by the public decreases, total federal debt rises.

Why it matters

A significance statement is not available in the OpenAlex record.

Key contribution

A contribution statement is not available in the OpenAlex record.

Method / approach

Method details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Main findings

Findings are not separately available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Limitations

Limitations are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Applications

Application details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Available abstract

The federal government had a surplus of $70 billion in fiscal year (FY) 1998 while total federal debt increased by $109 billion.Why did the debt increase even though the government had a surplus?The answer involves understanding what drives changes in the two components of federal debt, debt held by the public (such as that held by individuals, pension funds, banks, and insurance companies, among others) and debt held by government accounts (mostly in federal trust funds, such as Social Security).Debt held by the public declines when the government has a surplus.But when the government accounts that hold federal debt have surpluses, these surpluses increase debt held by government accounts.If the debt held by government accounts increases faster than debt held by the public decreases, total federal debt rises.

Key concepts: Debt, Business, Economics, Financial system, Finance

Related papers

Back to paper searchBrowse research topicsOriginal source
Surpluses and Federal Debt — Research Paper | ScholarLens