Optimal Risk Classification and Underwriting Risk for Substandard Annuities
Nadine Gatzert, Gudrun Hoermann, Hato Schmeiser
Abstract
Nadine Gatzert, Gudrun Hoermann, Hato Schmeiser
Abstract
Substandard annuities pay higher pensions to individuals with impaired health and thus require special underwriting of applicants. Although such risk classification can substantially increase a company's profitability, these products are uncommon except for the well established U.K. market. In this paper, we comprehensively analyze this issue and make several contributions to the literature. First, we describe enhanced, impaired life, and care annuities, and then discuss the underwriting process and underwriting risk related thereto. Second, we propose a theoretical model to determine the optimal profitmaximizing risk classification system for substandard annuities. Based on the model framework and for given price-demand dependencies, we formally show the effect of classification costs and costs of underwriting risk on profitability for insurers. Risk classes are distinguished by the average mortality of contained insureds, whereby mortality heterogeneity is included by means of a frailty model. Third, we discuss key aspects regarding a practical implementation of our model as well as possible market entry barriers for substandard annuity providers. JEL classification: C61, G22, L11 Subject Category and Insurance Branch Category: IM12, IM22, IB13
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Substandard annuities pay higher pensions to individuals with impaired health and thus require special underwriting of applicants. Although such risk classification can substantially increase a company's profitability, these products are uncommon except for the well established U.K. market. In this paper, we comprehensively analyze this issue and make several contributions to the literature. First, we describe enhanced, impaired life, and care annuities, and then discuss the underwriting process and underwriting risk related thereto. Second, we propose a theoretical model to determine the optimal profitmaximizing risk classification system for substandard annuities. Based on the model framework and for given price-demand dependencies, we formally show the effect of classification costs and costs of underwriting risk on profitability for insurers. Risk classes are distinguished by the average mortality of contained insureds, whereby mortality heterogeneity is included by means of a frailty model. Third, we discuss key aspects regarding a practical implementation of our model as well as possible market entry barriers for substandard annuity providers. JEL classification: C61, G22, L11 Subject Category and Insurance Branch Category: IM12, IM22, IB13
Key concepts: Underwriting, Annuity, Profitability index, Actuarial science, Medical underwriting, Business, Economics, Finance