High-dimensional uncertainty quantification of projectile motion in the barrel of a truck-mounted howitzer based on probability density evolution method

This paper proposed an efficient research method for high-dimensional uncertainty quantification of projectile motion in the barrel of a truck-mounted howitzer. Firstly, the dynamic model of projectile motion is established considering the flexible deformation of the barrel and the interaction between the projectile and the barrel. Subsequently, the accuracy of the dynamic model is verified based on the external ballistic projectile attitude test platform. Furthermore, the probability density evolution method (PDEM) is developed to high-dimensional uncertainty quantification of projectile motion. The engineering example highlights the results of the proposed method are consistent with the results obtained by the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). Finally, the influence of parameter uncertainty on the projectile disturbance at muzzle under different working conditions is analyzed. The results show that the disturbance of the pitch angular, pitch angular velocity and pitch angular of velocity decreases with the increase of launching angle, and the random parameter ranges of both the projectile and coupling model have similar influence on the disturbance of projectile angular motion at muzzle.