2023•Statistical ScienceRequires access

Experimental Design in Marketplaces

Patrick Bajari, Brian Burdick, Guido W. Imbens, Lorenzo Masoero, James M. McQueen, Thomas S. Richardson, Ido M. Rosen

Open publisher page 12 citations

Abstract

Classical Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs), or A/B tests, are designed to draw causal inferences about a population of units, for example, individuals, plots of land or visits to a website. A key assumption underlying a standard RCT is the absence of interactions between units, or the stable unit treatment value assumption (Ann. Statist. 6 (1978) 34–58). Modern experimentation, however, is often conducted in settings characterized by complex interactions between units. Such interactions can invalidate the standard estimators and make classical experimental designs ineffective. Although the presence of interference forces us to make untestable assumptions on the nature of the interactions even under randomization, sophisticated experimental designs can ameliorate the dependence on such assumptions. In this manuscript, we review the recent and rapidly growing literature on novel experimental designs for these settings. One key feature common to many of these designs is the presence of multiple layers of randomization within the same experiment. We discuss a novel experimental design, called Multiple Randomization Designs or MRDs, that provides a general framework for such experiments. Through these complex designs, we can study questions about causal effects in the presence of interference that cannot be answered by classical RCTs.

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What this paper is about

Classical Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs), or A/B tests, are designed to draw causal inferences about a population of units, for example, individuals, plots of land or visits to a website. A key assumption underlying a standard RCT is the absence of interactions between units, or the stable unit treatment value assumption (Ann. Statist. 6 (1978) 34–58). Modern experimentation, however, is often conducted in settings characterized by complex interactions between units. Such interactions can invalidate the standard estimators and make classical experimental designs ineffective. Although the presence of interference forces us to make untestable assumptions on the nature of the interactions even under randomization, sophisticated experimental designs can ameliorate the dependence on such assumptions. In this manuscript, we review the recent and rapidly growing literature on novel experimental designs for these settings. One key feature common to many of these designs is the presence of multiple layers of randomization within the same experiment. We discuss a novel experimental design, called Multiple Randomization Designs or MRDs, that provides a general framework for such experiments. Through these complex designs, we can study questions about causal effects in the presence of interference that cannot be answered by classical RCTs.

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Available abstract

Classical Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs), or A/B tests, are designed to draw causal inferences about a population of units, for example, individuals, plots of land or visits to a website. A key assumption underlying a standard RCT is the absence of interactions between units, or the stable unit treatment value assumption (Ann. Statist. 6 (1978) 34–58). Modern experimentation, however, is often conducted in settings characterized by complex interactions between units. Such interactions can invalidate the standard estimators and make classical experimental designs ineffective. Although the presence of interference forces us to make untestable assumptions on the nature of the interactions even under randomization, sophisticated experimental designs can ameliorate the dependence on such assumptions. In this manuscript, we review the recent and rapidly growing literature on novel experimental designs for these settings. One key feature common to many of these designs is the presence of multiple layers of randomization within the same experiment. We discuss a novel experimental design, called Multiple Randomization Designs or MRDs, that provides a general framework for such experiments. Through these complex designs, we can study questions about causal effects in the presence of interference that cannot be answered by classical RCTs.

Key concepts: Randomized experiment, Restricted randomization, Computer science, Estimator, Randomization, Design of experiments, Causal inference, Key (lock)

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