2023Energy Economics LettersOpen access

The long-run relationship between the prices of WTI and Brent crude oils – Periodogram based cointegration analyses

Yılmaz Akdi, Serdar Varlık, Hakan Berument

Open full text 1 citations

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to investigate the presence of a cointegrating relationship between the prices of the two most important crude oil price benchmarks, which are West Texas Intermediate and Brent, for June 1987-July 2021. We use the periodogram-based methodology. Our finding suggests a global long-run relationship between two major crude oil prices for the 1987:06-2010:03 period until the Deepwater Horizon oil spill took place at the Macondo Field, located in the Gulf of Mexico. After this accident, the relationship breaks down. We also find statistically significant closely 12-month common periodicities in both series for the pre-oil spill accident. We conclude that the cointegrating relationship between the two oil prices maintained up to 2010:03. This finding provides a practical implication that these two crude oil prices cannot be used for hedging purposes after this date.

Open-access reader

About this research paper

What this paper is about

The purpose of this article is to investigate the presence of a cointegrating relationship between the prices of the two most important crude oil price benchmarks, which are West Texas Intermediate and Brent, for June 1987-July 2021. We use the periodogram-based methodology. Our finding suggests a global long-run relationship between two major crude oil prices for the 1987:06-2010:03 period until the Deepwater Horizon oil spill took place at the Macondo Field, located in the Gulf of Mexico. After this accident, the relationship breaks down. We also find statistically significant closely 12-month common periodicities in both series for the pre-oil spill accident. We conclude that the cointegrating relationship between the two oil prices maintained up to 2010:03. This finding provides a practical implication that these two crude oil prices cannot be used for hedging purposes after this date.

Why it matters

OpenAlex reports 1 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

Key contribution

A contribution statement is not available in the OpenAlex record.

Method / approach

Method details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Main findings

Findings are not separately available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Limitations

Limitations are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Applications

Application details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Available abstract

The purpose of this article is to investigate the presence of a cointegrating relationship between the prices of the two most important crude oil price benchmarks, which are West Texas Intermediate and Brent, for June 1987-July 2021. We use the periodogram-based methodology. Our finding suggests a global long-run relationship between two major crude oil prices for the 1987:06-2010:03 period until the Deepwater Horizon oil spill took place at the Macondo Field, located in the Gulf of Mexico. After this accident, the relationship breaks down. We also find statistically significant closely 12-month common periodicities in both series for the pre-oil spill accident. We conclude that the cointegrating relationship between the two oil prices maintained up to 2010:03. This finding provides a practical implication that these two crude oil prices cannot be used for hedging purposes after this date.

Key concepts: West Texas Intermediate, Cointegration, Brent Crude, Crude oil, Oil spill, Periodogram, Deepwater horizon, Econometrics

Related papers

Back to paper searchBrowse research topicsOriginal source
The long-run relationship between the prices of WTI and Brent crude oils – Periodogram based cointegration analyses — Research Paper | ScholarLens