2020arXiv (Cornell University)Open access

Text and Causal Inference: A Review of Using Text to Remove Confounding\n from Causal Estimates

Katherine A. Keith, David Jensen, Brendan O’Connor

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Abstract

Many applications of computational social science aim to infer causal\nconclusions from non-experimental data. Such observational data often contains\nconfounders, variables that influence both potential causes and potential\neffects. Unmeasured or latent confounders can bias causal estimates, and this\nhas motivated interest in measuring potential confounders from observed text.\nFor example, an individual's entire history of social media posts or the\ncontent of a news article could provide a rich measurement of multiple\nconfounders. Yet, methods and applications for this problem are scattered\nacross different communities and evaluation practices are inconsistent. This\nreview is the first to gather and categorize these examples and provide a guide\nto data-processing and evaluation decisions. Despite increased attention on\nadjusting for confounding using text, there are still many open problems, which\nwe highlight in this paper.\n

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Many applications of computational social science aim to infer causal\nconclusions from non-experimental data. Such observational data often contains\nconfounders, variables that influence both potential causes and potential\neffects. Unmeasured or latent confounders can bias causal estimates, and this\nhas motivated interest in measuring potential confounders from observed text.\nFor example, an individual's entire history of social media posts or the\ncontent of a news article could provide a rich measurement of multiple\nconfounders. Yet, methods and applications for this problem are scattered\nacross different communities and evaluation practices are inconsistent. This\nreview is the first to gather and categorize these examples and provide a guide\nto data-processing and evaluation decisions. Despite increased attention on\nadjusting for confounding using text, there are still many open problems, which\nwe highlight in this paper.\n

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Available abstract

Many applications of computational social science aim to infer causal\nconclusions from non-experimental data. Such observational data often contains\nconfounders, variables that influence both potential causes and potential\neffects. Unmeasured or latent confounders can bias causal estimates, and this\nhas motivated interest in measuring potential confounders from observed text.\nFor example, an individual's entire history of social media posts or the\ncontent of a news article could provide a rich measurement of multiple\nconfounders. Yet, methods and applications for this problem are scattered\nacross different communities and evaluation practices are inconsistent. This\nreview is the first to gather and categorize these examples and provide a guide\nto data-processing and evaluation decisions. Despite increased attention on\nadjusting for confounding using text, there are still many open problems, which\nwe highlight in this paper.\n

Key concepts: Confounding, Causal inference, Observational study, Categorization, Inference, Computer science, Causality (physics), Psychology

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