Defining Your Decision
Ralph L. Keeney
Abstract
Ralph L. Keeney
Abstract
Before acting to solve some recognized decision problem, it is important to think about which immediate decision you should face. Once you recognize a decision, you want to develop a clear and concise statement of this decision. You have an important choice—in fact, a decision itself–about the decision statement that you choose to describe the decision that you want to face. Your decision statement is the starting point for nudging your thinking about sets of appropriate values and alternatives to create the decision frame for your decision. Begin any decision statement with the word “decide,” typically followed by “which,” “what,” “when,” “whether,” “how,” or “if.” Decision statements are often narrow and end up addressing only part of the real decision. You want any mention of values in your decision statement to be broad. Before accepting any decision statement posed for you by someone else, you should carefully consider whether you want to address that decision.
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Before acting to solve some recognized decision problem, it is important to think about which immediate decision you should face. Once you recognize a decision, you want to develop a clear and concise statement of this decision. You have an important choice—in fact, a decision itself–about the decision statement that you choose to describe the decision that you want to face. Your decision statement is the starting point for nudging your thinking about sets of appropriate values and alternatives to create the decision frame for your decision. Begin any decision statement with the word “decide,” typically followed by “which,” “what,” “when,” “whether,” “how,” or “if.” Decision statements are often narrow and end up addressing only part of the real decision. You want any mention of values in your decision statement to be broad. Before accepting any decision statement posed for you by someone else, you should carefully consider whether you want to address that decision.
Key concepts: Statement (logic), Decision analysis, Business decision mapping, Evidential decision theory, Evidential reasoning approach, Decision engineering, Decision rule, Optimal decision