On the use of autoregressive order determination criteria in multivariate white noise tests
Tarmo Pukkila, P. R. Krishnaiah
Abstract
Tarmo Pukkila, P. R. Krishnaiah
Abstract
Testing the hypothesis of multivariate white noise is seen as the selection of the order of a multivariate autoregressive model for the observed time series. Therefore, multivariate white noise tests can be carried out by applying autoregressive order-determination criteria such as AIC, BIC, etc. It is known, for example, that the BIC criterion estimates consistently the order of an autoregression. An order-determination criterion with this property leads to a white noise test with a significance level approaching zero as n, the number of observations, increases. The order of an autoregressive moving-average model is proposed to be determined by applying this kind of white noise test. The resulting model building procedure is a generalization of the procedure proposed by G.E.P. Box and G.M. Jenkins (1970).>
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Testing the hypothesis of multivariate white noise is seen as the selection of the order of a multivariate autoregressive model for the observed time series. Therefore, multivariate white noise tests can be carried out by applying autoregressive order-determination criteria such as AIC, BIC, etc. It is known, for example, that the BIC criterion estimates consistently the order of an autoregression. An order-determination criterion with this property leads to a white noise test with a significance level approaching zero as n, the number of observations, increases. The order of an autoregressive moving-average model is proposed to be determined by applying this kind of white noise test. The resulting model building procedure is a generalization of the procedure proposed by G.E.P. Box and G.M. Jenkins (1970).>
Key concepts: Autoregressive model, White noise, STAR model, Multivariate statistics, Mathematics, Noise (video), Statistics, Generalization