Formation and disintegration of the Antarctic ice sheet

A model of the Antarctic ice sheet has been used to simulate the ice sheet in warmer climates, in order to investigate what kind of ice-sheet geometries one can reasonably expect under what kind of climatic conditions and to discover which physical mechanisms may be involved to explain them. The results of these experiments reveal the considerable stability of; in particular, the East Antarctic ice sheet. It would require a temperature rise of between 17 and 20 K above present levels to remove this ice sheet from the subglacial basins in the interior of the continent and of 25 K to melt down the Antarctic ice sheet completely. For a temperature rise below 5 K, the model actually predicts a larger Antarctic ice sheet than today as a result of increased snowfall, whereas the west Antarctic ice sheet was round not to survive temperatures more than 8–10 K above present values. Furthermore, basal temperature conditions in these experiments point to the problems involved in raising the base of the ice sheet to the pressure-melting point over the large areas necessary to consider the possibility of sliding instability. These results bear on a lively debate regarding the late Cenozoic glacial history of Antarctica. Particularly, based on these findings, it is difficult to reconcile a highly variable East Antarctic ice sheet until the Pliocene with modest warming recorded in, for instance, the deep-sea records for the late Neogene.