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2020•Global Trade and Customs JournalRequires access

The Spillover Effect of the US-China Trade War on Exports of Major Trading Partners of US and China

Tajul Ariffin Masron, Yogeeswari Subramaniam, Eliza Nor

Open publisher page 1 citations

Abstract

Under the US-China trade war, several countries could gain the most from the tension. This study aims to investigate how the US-China trade war affects the exports of major trading partners of the US and China, which are also competing with China and the US for the same markets of the US and China, respectively. Ten selected major exporting countries are utilized as the sample of this study. The results of Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) show that the US-China trade war has a significant effect on exports of US’s and China’s top ten trading partners. Therefore, while the US and China might be struggling to find new avenues for their exports, some countries can reap the positive side-effect of the trade war, which raged between the US and China.

About this research paper

What this paper is about

Under the US-China trade war, several countries could gain the most from the tension. This study aims to investigate how the US-China trade war affects the exports of major trading partners of the US and China, which are also competing with China and the US for the same markets of the US and China, respectively. Ten selected major exporting countries are utilized as the sample of this study. The results of Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) show that the US-China trade war has a significant effect on exports of US’s and China’s top ten trading partners. Therefore, while the US and China might be struggling to find new avenues for their exports, some countries can reap the positive side-effect of the trade war, which raged between the US and China.

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Available abstract

Under the US-China trade war, several countries could gain the most from the tension. This study aims to investigate how the US-China trade war affects the exports of major trading partners of the US and China, which are also competing with China and the US for the same markets of the US and China, respectively. Ten selected major exporting countries are utilized as the sample of this study. The results of Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) show that the US-China trade war has a significant effect on exports of US’s and China’s top ten trading partners. Therefore, while the US and China might be struggling to find new avenues for their exports, some countries can reap the positive side-effect of the trade war, which raged between the US and China.

Key concepts: China, Trade war, Ordinary least squares, Spillover effect, Economics, International trade, Sample (material), International economics

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