Entry and exit decisions under public and private information: an experiment
Aleksei Chernulich, John B. Horowitz, Jean Paul Rabanal, Olga A. Rud, Manizha Sharifova
Abstract
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Aleksei Chernulich, John B. Horowitz, Jean Paul Rabanal, Olga A. Rud, Manizha Sharifova
Abstract
Open-access reader
Abstract We design an experiment to study how reversible entry decisions are affected by public and private payoff disclosure policies. In our environment, subjects choose between a risky payoff, which evolves according to an autoregressive process, and a constant payoff. The treatments vary the information disclosure rule on the risky payoff, such that in the public information treatment the risky payoff is always observable, while in the private information treatment, the risky payoff is observable only to the participants who enter the market. We find that under private information, market entry is higher, which suggests that subjects engage in exploration and place value on information.
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Abstract We design an experiment to study how reversible entry decisions are affected by public and private payoff disclosure policies. In our environment, subjects choose between a risky payoff, which evolves according to an autoregressive process, and a constant payoff. The treatments vary the information disclosure rule on the risky payoff, such that in the public information treatment the risky payoff is always observable, while in the private information treatment, the risky payoff is observable only to the participants who enter the market. We find that under private information, market entry is higher, which suggests that subjects engage in exploration and place value on information.
Key concepts: Stochastic game, Private information retrieval, Public information, Microeconomics, Economics, Value (mathematics), Actuarial science, Business