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Consumer stockpiling and demand elasticity biases: A theoretical note with applications

Ruochen Li

Open publisher page 3 citations

Abstract

Abstract Consumer stockpiling can result in biased empirical estimates of own‐ and cross‐price elasticities of demand with significant implications for a range of policy issues. To further the theoretical understanding of such biases, I develop a simple, yet general theoretical framework. For any given demand and prices, I show both the own‐ and cross‐price elasticities biases can be over‐ or underestimated depending upon a single intuitive condition. I then illustrate the importance of these insights by applying them to some example applications, including the measurement of market power and the estimated effects of tax increases on consumption.

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What this paper is about

Abstract Consumer stockpiling can result in biased empirical estimates of own‐ and cross‐price elasticities of demand with significant implications for a range of policy issues. To further the theoretical understanding of such biases, I develop a simple, yet general theoretical framework. For any given demand and prices, I show both the own‐ and cross‐price elasticities biases can be over‐ or underestimated depending upon a single intuitive condition. I then illustrate the importance of these insights by applying them to some example applications, including the measurement of market power and the estimated effects of tax increases on consumption.

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Available abstract

Abstract Consumer stockpiling can result in biased empirical estimates of own‐ and cross‐price elasticities of demand with significant implications for a range of policy issues. To further the theoretical understanding of such biases, I develop a simple, yet general theoretical framework. For any given demand and prices, I show both the own‐ and cross‐price elasticities biases can be over‐ or underestimated depending upon a single intuitive condition. I then illustrate the importance of these insights by applying them to some example applications, including the measurement of market power and the estimated effects of tax increases on consumption.

Key concepts: Economics, Price elasticity of demand, Market power, Econometrics, Consumer demand, Microeconomics, Elasticity (physics), Consumption (sociology)

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