2018•International Journal of Management, IT, and EngineeringRequires access

Monetary policy and control of inflation in Nigeria

Feyisayo Loveth Adodo, Opeyemi Roselyn Akindutire, Joseph Kayode Ogunyemi

Open publisher page 3 citations

Abstract

This study examined the effectiveness of monetary policy and control of inflation in Nigeria. The study adopted Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Johansen Co-integration and Error Correction Model (ECM) to evaluate the effect of money supply, interest rate and exchange rate on inflation rate in Nigeria. The results of the unit root test revealed that Inflation Rate, Money Supply, Exchange Rate and Interest were stationary at first difference while the result of the Johansen Co-integration Test revealed there is long run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The result of the Error Correction Model revealed that both Money Supply and Interest Rate are statistically significant in explaining variation in Inflation Rate while Exchange Rate is insignificant in explaining variation in Inflation Rate. It was however concluded that monetary policy has been partially effective in controlling in inflation rate in Nigeria. The study recommended that monetary authority should adopt adequate indirect instruments for the purpose of controlling the volume of money in circulation for effective and efficient control of inflation rate in Nigeria. Interest rate in Nigeria should be totally liberalized for the purpose of making it a strong monetary policy instrument of regulating price level and economic activities. The money market and its instruments should be adequately developed for the purpose of making it an effective control mechanism for inflation in Nigeria. A robust and effective exchange rate regime should be adopted by regulatory authorities in order to ensure exchange rate stability capable of controlling inflationary pressure in the economy.

About this research paper

What this paper is about

This study examined the effectiveness of monetary policy and control of inflation in Nigeria. The study adopted Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Johansen Co-integration and Error Correction Model (ECM) to evaluate the effect of money supply, interest rate and exchange rate on inflation rate in Nigeria. The results of the unit root test revealed that Inflation Rate, Money Supply, Exchange Rate and Interest were stationary at first difference while the result of the Johansen Co-integration Test revealed there is long run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The result of the Error Correction Model revealed that both Money Supply and Interest Rate are statistically significant in explaining variation in Inflation Rate while Exchange Rate is insignificant in explaining variation in Inflation Rate. It was however concluded that monetary policy has been partially effective in controlling in inflation rate in Nigeria. The study recommended that monetary authority should adopt adequate indirect instruments for the purpose of controlling the volume of money in circulation for effective and efficient control of inflation rate in Nigeria. Interest rate in Nigeria should be totally liberalized for the purpose of making it a strong monetary policy instrument of regulating price level and economic activities. The money market and its instruments should be adequately developed for the purpose of making it an effective control mechanism for inflation in Nigeria. A robust and effective exchange rate regime should be adopted by regulatory authorities in order to ensure exchange rate stability capable of controlling inflationary pressure in the economy.

Why it matters

OpenAlex reports 3 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

Key contribution

A contribution statement is not available in the OpenAlex record.

Method / approach

Method details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Main findings

Findings are not separately available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Limitations

Limitations are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Applications

Application details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Available abstract

This study examined the effectiveness of monetary policy and control of inflation in Nigeria. The study adopted Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Johansen Co-integration and Error Correction Model (ECM) to evaluate the effect of money supply, interest rate and exchange rate on inflation rate in Nigeria. The results of the unit root test revealed that Inflation Rate, Money Supply, Exchange Rate and Interest were stationary at first difference while the result of the Johansen Co-integration Test revealed there is long run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The result of the Error Correction Model revealed that both Money Supply and Interest Rate are statistically significant in explaining variation in Inflation Rate while Exchange Rate is insignificant in explaining variation in Inflation Rate. It was however concluded that monetary policy has been partially effective in controlling in inflation rate in Nigeria. The study recommended that monetary authority should adopt adequate indirect instruments for the purpose of controlling the volume of money in circulation for effective and efficient control of inflation rate in Nigeria. Interest rate in Nigeria should be totally liberalized for the purpose of making it a strong monetary policy instrument of regulating price level and economic activities. The money market and its instruments should be adequately developed for the purpose of making it an effective control mechanism for inflation in Nigeria. A robust and effective exchange rate regime should be adopted by regulatory authorities in order to ensure exchange rate stability capable of controlling inflationary pressure in the economy.

Key concepts: Economics, Money supply, Monetary policy, Exchange rate, Inflation (cosmology), Monetary economics, Real interest rate, Interest rate

Related papers

Back to paper searchBrowse research topicsOriginal source
Monetary policy and control of inflation in Nigeria — Research Paper | ScholarLens