2003RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsOpen access

Wage indexation and inflation persistence

Víctor López Pérez

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Abstract

This paper presents a model whose key feature is the existence of wage indexation clauses to lagged inflation. The main result that can be drawn is that the higher the proportion of labour contracts that include indexation clauses, the more important past inflation will be when explaining current inflation movements. However, a plausible (small) degree of indexation does not explain observed US inflation autocorrelations. Besides, optimal monetary policy is computed and the optimal degree of indexation is obtained. Finally, a two-country configuration is presented and the losses incurred as a result of setting a common monetary policy are calculated.

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This paper presents a model whose key feature is the existence of wage indexation clauses to lagged inflation. The main result that can be drawn is that the higher the proportion of labour contracts that include indexation clauses, the more important past inflation will be when explaining current inflation movements. However, a plausible (small) degree of indexation does not explain observed US inflation autocorrelations. Besides, optimal monetary policy is computed and the optimal degree of indexation is obtained. Finally, a two-country configuration is presented and the losses incurred as a result of setting a common monetary policy are calculated.

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Available abstract

This paper presents a model whose key feature is the existence of wage indexation clauses to lagged inflation. The main result that can be drawn is that the higher the proportion of labour contracts that include indexation clauses, the more important past inflation will be when explaining current inflation movements. However, a plausible (small) degree of indexation does not explain observed US inflation autocorrelations. Besides, optimal monetary policy is computed and the optimal degree of indexation is obtained. Finally, a two-country configuration is presented and the losses incurred as a result of setting a common monetary policy are calculated.

Key concepts: Indexation, Economics, Inflation (cosmology), Wage, Monetary policy, Econometrics, Monetary economics, Macroeconomics

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