2021•RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsOpen access

The international forward guidance transmission under a global liquidity trap

Daisuke Ida, Hirokuni Iiboshi

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Abstract

This paper quantitatively explores the interaction effect of forward guidance (FG) on international monetary policy transmission using a standard two-country new Keynesian model with a global liquidity trap. First, we show that the magnitude of the constant risk aversion coefficient (CRRA) is important in determining the beggar-thy-neighbor and prosper-thy-neighbor effects in foreign economies when the home country only faces the zero lower bound (ZLB) constraints. Second,we demonstrate that both countries may benefit from adopting only the home country's FG policies if the home central bank only faces the ZLB. Third, we find the potential benefit of the FG interaction effect between two countries. Thus, we document the possibility that home and foreign central banks can benefit from monetary policy coordination by adopting the same duration of FG quarters.

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This paper quantitatively explores the interaction effect of forward guidance (FG) on international monetary policy transmission using a standard two-country new Keynesian model with a global liquidity trap. First, we show that the magnitude of the constant risk aversion coefficient (CRRA) is important in determining the beggar-thy-neighbor and prosper-thy-neighbor effects in foreign economies when the home country only faces the zero lower bound (ZLB) constraints. Second,we demonstrate that both countries may benefit from adopting only the home country's FG policies if the home central bank only faces the ZLB. Third, we find the potential benefit of the FG interaction effect between two countries. Thus, we document the possibility that home and foreign central banks can benefit from monetary policy coordination by adopting the same duration of FG quarters.

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Available abstract

This paper quantitatively explores the interaction effect of forward guidance (FG) on international monetary policy transmission using a standard two-country new Keynesian model with a global liquidity trap. First, we show that the magnitude of the constant risk aversion coefficient (CRRA) is important in determining the beggar-thy-neighbor and prosper-thy-neighbor effects in foreign economies when the home country only faces the zero lower bound (ZLB) constraints. Second,we demonstrate that both countries may benefit from adopting only the home country's FG policies if the home central bank only faces the ZLB. Third, we find the potential benefit of the FG interaction effect between two countries. Thus, we document the possibility that home and foreign central banks can benefit from monetary policy coordination by adopting the same duration of FG quarters.

Key concepts: Liquidity trap, Zero lower bound, Economics, New Keynesian economics, Elasticity of substitution, Welfare, Interest rate, Forward guidance

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