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Research on the Relationship between Chengdu Real Estate Investment and Regional Economic Development Based on Cointegration Model and Vector Error Correction Model

Xiong Zhang, Sheng Zhu

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Abstract

This article comprehensively applies unit roots, cointegration analysis, vector error correction model theory and other methods, based on the time-series data of Chengdu real estate development investment (REI) and gross regional product (GDP) 1990 to 2019, in-depth research and investigation Their mutual relationship. Construct a cointegration model to describe the long-term equilibrium relationship between variables, and construct an error correction model to reflect the short-term unbalanced relationship between variables. Empirical analysis shows a significant cointegration relationship between Chengdu's real estate investment and economic growth. The vector error correction model's establishment shows that Chengdu's real estate investment and economic growths are short-term fluctuations and long-term equilibrium.

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What this paper is about

This article comprehensively applies unit roots, cointegration analysis, vector error correction model theory and other methods, based on the time-series data of Chengdu real estate development investment (REI) and gross regional product (GDP) 1990 to 2019, in-depth research and investigation Their mutual relationship. Construct a cointegration model to describe the long-term equilibrium relationship between variables, and construct an error correction model to reflect the short-term unbalanced relationship between variables. Empirical analysis shows a significant cointegration relationship between Chengdu's real estate investment and economic growth. The vector error correction model's establishment shows that Chengdu's real estate investment and economic growths are short-term fluctuations and long-term equilibrium.

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Available abstract

This article comprehensively applies unit roots, cointegration analysis, vector error correction model theory and other methods, based on the time-series data of Chengdu real estate development investment (REI) and gross regional product (GDP) 1990 to 2019, in-depth research and investigation Their mutual relationship. Construct a cointegration model to describe the long-term equilibrium relationship between variables, and construct an error correction model to reflect the short-term unbalanced relationship between variables. Empirical analysis shows a significant cointegration relationship between Chengdu's real estate investment and economic growth. The vector error correction model's establishment shows that Chengdu's real estate investment and economic growths are short-term fluctuations and long-term equilibrium.

Key concepts: Cointegration, Error correction model, Econometrics, Real estate, Investment (military), Economics, Construct (python library), Term (time)

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