On a class of renewal risk processes
Dcm Dickson
Abstract
Dcm Dickson
Abstract
In this paper I show how methods that have been applied to derive results for the classical risk process can be adapted to derive results for a class of risk processes in which claims occur as a renewal process. In particular, claims occur as an Erlang process. I consider the problem of finding the survival probability for such risk processes and then derive expressions for the probability and severity of ruin and for the probability of absorption by an upper barrier. Finally, I apply these results to consider the problem of finding the distribution of the maximum deficit during the period from ruin to recovery to surplus level 0.
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In this paper I show how methods that have been applied to derive results for the classical risk process can be adapted to derive results for a class of risk processes in which claims occur as a renewal process. In particular, claims occur as an Erlang process. I consider the problem of finding the survival probability for such risk processes and then derive expressions for the probability and severity of ruin and for the probability of absorption by an upper barrier. Finally, I apply these results to consider the problem of finding the distribution of the maximum deficit during the period from ruin to recovery to surplus level 0.
Key concepts: Erlang (programming language), Risk process, Ruin theory, Renewal theory, Erlang distribution, Class (philosophy), Risk model, Mathematics