2018SSRN Electronic JournalOpen access

Effect of Exchange Rates Volatility on Imports and Exports

Muhia John Gachunga

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Abstract

With the emergence of floating regimes, exchange rate volatility has received a lot of attention in economic research. This study used a log-linear multiple regression model to assess the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on Kenya's imports and exports during the period 1980-2015. The results show that the volatility of the real exchange rate significantly affects imports and exports. In addition, the increase in exchange rate uncertainty has had long-term adverse effects on exports, but has no effect on imports.

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What this paper is about

With the emergence of floating regimes, exchange rate volatility has received a lot of attention in economic research. This study used a log-linear multiple regression model to assess the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on Kenya's imports and exports during the period 1980-2015. The results show that the volatility of the real exchange rate significantly affects imports and exports. In addition, the increase in exchange rate uncertainty has had long-term adverse effects on exports, but has no effect on imports.

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Available abstract

With the emergence of floating regimes, exchange rate volatility has received a lot of attention in economic research. This study used a log-linear multiple regression model to assess the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on Kenya's imports and exports during the period 1980-2015. The results show that the volatility of the real exchange rate significantly affects imports and exports. In addition, the increase in exchange rate uncertainty has had long-term adverse effects on exports, but has no effect on imports.

Key concepts: Volatility (finance), Economics, Exchange rate, Monetary economics, International economics, Econometrics

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