2012Annals of Financial EconomicsRequires access

THE THIRD FUNDAMENTAL THEOREM OF ASSET PRICING

Robert A. Jarrow

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Abstract

The importance of market efficiency to derivative pricing is not well understood. The purpose of this paper is to explain this connection using the third fundamental theorem of asset pricing. The third fundamental theorem of asset pricing characterizes the conditions under which an equivalent martingale probability measure exists in an economy. Noting that the existence of an equivalent martingale probability measure is both necessary and sufficient for the market being informationally efficient, we prove that in a complete market, the market being efficient is both necessary and sufficient for the validity of the risk neutral valuation methodology.

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The importance of market efficiency to derivative pricing is not well understood. The purpose of this paper is to explain this connection using the third fundamental theorem of asset pricing. The third fundamental theorem of asset pricing characterizes the conditions under which an equivalent martingale probability measure exists in an economy. Noting that the existence of an equivalent martingale probability measure is both necessary and sufficient for the market being informationally efficient, we prove that in a complete market, the market being efficient is both necessary and sufficient for the validity of the risk neutral valuation methodology.

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Available abstract

The importance of market efficiency to derivative pricing is not well understood. The purpose of this paper is to explain this connection using the third fundamental theorem of asset pricing. The third fundamental theorem of asset pricing characterizes the conditions under which an equivalent martingale probability measure exists in an economy. Noting that the existence of an equivalent martingale probability measure is both necessary and sufficient for the market being informationally efficient, we prove that in a complete market, the market being efficient is both necessary and sufficient for the validity of the risk neutral valuation methodology.

Key concepts: Martingale (probability theory), Risk-neutral measure, Fundamental theorem of asset pricing, Martingale pricing, Rational pricing, Mathematical economics, Probability measure, Valuation (finance)

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