2007SSRN Electronic JournalOpen access

Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: New Evidence from Panel Unit Root Tests for Seventeen European Countries

Arti Prasad, Paresh Kumar Narayan

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Abstract

There is a large and growing literature that investigates evidence for mean reversion in stock prices. Empirically, there is no consensus as to whether stock prices are mean reverting or random walk processes; at best, the results are mixed. In this paper, we provide further evidence on the mean reversion hypothesis for seventeen European countries using the Levin and Lin (1992), seemingly unrelated regression and the multivariate augmented Dickey-Fuller panel unit root tests. Our main finding is that stock prices of all seventeen European countries are characterized by a unit root, consistent with the efficient market hypothesis.

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There is a large and growing literature that investigates evidence for mean reversion in stock prices. Empirically, there is no consensus as to whether stock prices are mean reverting or random walk processes; at best, the results are mixed. In this paper, we provide further evidence on the mean reversion hypothesis for seventeen European countries using the Levin and Lin (1992), seemingly unrelated regression and the multivariate augmented Dickey-Fuller panel unit root tests. Our main finding is that stock prices of all seventeen European countries are characterized by a unit root, consistent with the efficient market hypothesis.

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Available abstract

There is a large and growing literature that investigates evidence for mean reversion in stock prices. Empirically, there is no consensus as to whether stock prices are mean reverting or random walk processes; at best, the results are mixed. In this paper, we provide further evidence on the mean reversion hypothesis for seventeen European countries using the Levin and Lin (1992), seemingly unrelated regression and the multivariate augmented Dickey-Fuller panel unit root tests. Our main finding is that stock prices of all seventeen European countries are characterized by a unit root, consistent with the efficient market hypothesis.

Key concepts: Mean reversion, Unit root, Stock (firearms), Economics, Reversion, Unit root test, Econometrics, Cointegration

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