2005Journal of the European Economic AssociationRequires access

Liquidity Risk and Contagion

Rodrigo Cifuentes, Gianluigi Ferrucci, Hyun Song Shin

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Abstract

This paper explores liquidity risk in a system of interconnected financial institutions when these institutions are subject to regulatory solvency constraints and mark their assets to market.When the market's demand for illiquid assets is less than perfectly elastic, sales by distressed institutions depress the market prices of such assets.Marking to market of the asset book can induce a further round of endogenously generated sales of assets, depressing prices further and inducing further sales.Contagious failures can result from small shocks.We investigate the theoretical basis for contagious failures and quantify them through simulation exercises.Liquidity requirements on institutions can be as effective as capital requirements in forestalling contagious failures.

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What this paper is about

This paper explores liquidity risk in a system of interconnected financial institutions when these institutions are subject to regulatory solvency constraints and mark their assets to market.When the market's demand for illiquid assets is less than perfectly elastic, sales by distressed institutions depress the market prices of such assets.Marking to market of the asset book can induce a further round of endogenously generated sales of assets, depressing prices further and inducing further sales.Contagious failures can result from small shocks.We investigate the theoretical basis for contagious failures and quantify them through simulation exercises.Liquidity requirements on institutions can be as effective as capital requirements in forestalling contagious failures.

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Available abstract

This paper explores liquidity risk in a system of interconnected financial institutions when these institutions are subject to regulatory solvency constraints and mark their assets to market.When the market's demand for illiquid assets is less than perfectly elastic, sales by distressed institutions depress the market prices of such assets.Marking to market of the asset book can induce a further round of endogenously generated sales of assets, depressing prices further and inducing further sales.Contagious failures can result from small shocks.We investigate the theoretical basis for contagious failures and quantify them through simulation exercises.Liquidity requirements on institutions can be as effective as capital requirements in forestalling contagious failures.

Key concepts: Market liquidity, Economics, Monetary economics, Financial contagion, Liquidity risk, Business, Financial system, Financial crisis

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